Kashmir Weather Update: Srinagar: The 40-day harsh winter period, Chillai Kalan, is turning out to be a “dry nightmare” this year. In a concerning update for tourists and farmers alike, the Meteorological Department (MeT) has predicted that the dry spell in Kashmir will continue until January 22, 2026.
As of this morning (Jan 9), Srinagar recorded its coldest night of the season at -5.1°C, freezing water taps and the fringes of the famous Dal Lake.
The Forecast: No ‘White Winter’ Yet?
According to Director MeT Dr. Mukhtar Ahmad, a “blocking high” pressure system is preventing major snow-bearing winds from entering the region. The outlook for the next two weeks remains grim for snow lovers.
Breakdown of Weather till Jan 22
- Till Jan 15: Weather will remain largely dry and clear across the valley.
- Jan 16-17: A feeble Western Disturbance might bring light rain or snow to isolated higher reaches (Gulmarg, Sonamarg).
- Jan 18-22: Dry weather returns with partly cloudy skies.
Official MeT Statement
“We are witnessing a significant precipitation deficit (approx 40%). While night temperatures will drop further (up to -6°C), day temperatures may remain slightly above normal due to clear skies.”
Impact on Tourism: Gulmarg & Pahalgam
The prolonged dry spell has left winter tourism stakeholders worried, as the famous ski slopes remain largely bare.
Skiing & Snow Status
- Gulmarg: While the resort saw a dusting of snow earlier this week, it currently lacks the 3-4 feet of powder required for professional skiing.
- Advisory: Tourists are advised to check the status before booking ski packages, as slopes are currently hard-packed and icy.
Jammu Division: Fog Alert
While Kashmir shivers in dry cold, the Jammu plains are battling dense fog affecting daily life and travel.
Traffic Update for NH44
- Visibility: Reduced to below 50 meters in Kathua, Samba, and parts of Jammu city.
- Travel Advisory: Commuters on the Jammu-Srinagar National Highway are advised to drive with extreme caution during early morning hours (4 AM – 9 AM) due to near-zero visibility.
Why is this Worrying? (The Water Crisis)
A snowless Chillai Kalan isn’t just about tourism; it is an environmental alarm bell for the region.
Critical Water Levels
- Glaciers: Without heavy snow now, glaciers will not recharge effectively for the summer melt.
- Jhelum River: The water level in River Jhelum has dropped to minus 0.74 feet at the Sangam gauge—one of the lowest winter readings in recent history. This poses a severe risk for summer irrigation and horticulture.
Verdict
For now, the “Winter Wonderland” remains elusive. Locals are advised to keep water pipes insulated to prevent bursting, and tourists should pack for extreme freezing cold rather than snow fun.
FAQ
A: The MeT department predicts mostly dry weather until Jan 22. Light snowfall is possible on higher reaches on Jan 16-17, but heavy snowfall is not currently forecast.
A: Yes, the road to Gulmarg is open for all vehicles. However, authorities advise using anti-skid chains due to slippery conditions from the frost.
A: As of Jan 9, Srinagar recorded a minimum night temperature of -5.1°C.
